Releases
Michael Gochfeld
gochfeld at eohsi.rutgers.edu
Thu May 4 09:48:14 EDT 2000
Actually I believe Fred was right about the 18th century at which time
Aclimatization societies were already active in Europe bring novelties
from the colonies and encouraging their establishment in private and
public gardens. There is even a "Jardin des Acclimatisations" (excuse
the spelling or lack thereof) in Paris, which got its start that way
many decades ago.
Perhaps we should be considering releases in a risk assessment
framework. What is the probability that something bad will happen. Most
likely it is small, but what is "small". Moreover, there are at least
two dimensions to "risk": probability and consequence. We need to
recognize that even highly improbable events might have substantial
consequence. Optimists focal on the low probability and pessimists on
the high cost of being wrong.
I presume that there are lots of post-release assessments to determine
how long butterflies (or other creatures) survive and whether they
reproduce. From such data one could begin to perform a risk assessment.
At least we're not confronted by the overgrowth of exotic butterflies
(Cabbage Whites excepted), like the exotic plant community.
M. Gochfeld
M. Gochfeld
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