<html xmlns:v="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml" xmlns:o="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" xmlns:w="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:word" xmlns:m="http://schemas.microsoft.com/office/2004/12/omml" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40"><head><meta http-equiv=Content-Type content="text/html; charset=iso-2022-jp"><meta name=Generator content="Microsoft Word 15 (filtered medium)"><!--[if !mso]><style>v\:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);}
o\:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);}
w\:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);}
.shape {behavior:url(#default#VML);}
</style><![endif]--><style><!--
/* Font Definitions */
@font-face
{font-family:"MS Gothic";
panose-1:2 11 6 9 7 2 5 8 2 4;}
@font-face
{font-family:"Cambria Math";
panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4;}
@font-face
{font-family:Calibri;
panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4;}
@font-face
{font-family:"Microsoft YaHei Light";
panose-1:2 11 5 2 4 2 4 2 2 3;}
@font-face
{font-family:"\@Microsoft YaHei Light";}
@font-face
{font-family:"\@MS Gothic";
panose-1:2 11 6 9 7 2 5 8 2 4;}
@font-face
{font-family:"MS PGothic";
panose-1:2 11 6 0 7 2 5 8 2 4;}
@font-face
{font-family:"\@MS PGothic";}
/* Style Definitions */
p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal
{margin:0in;
margin-bottom:.0001pt;
font-size:11.0pt;
font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
mso-fareast-language:JA;}
h1
{mso-style-priority:9;
mso-style-link:"Heading 1 Char";
mso-margin-top-alt:auto;
margin-right:0in;
mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:0in;
font-size:24.0pt;
font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
mso-fareast-language:JA;
font-weight:bold;}
a:link, span.MsoHyperlink
{mso-style-priority:99;
color:#0563C1;
text-decoration:underline;}
a:visited, span.MsoHyperlinkFollowed
{mso-style-priority:99;
color:#954F72;
text-decoration:underline;}
span.Heading1Char
{mso-style-name:"Heading 1 Char";
mso-style-priority:9;
mso-style-link:"Heading 1";
font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
font-weight:bold;}
p.msonormal0, li.msonormal0, div.msonormal0
{mso-style-name:msonormal;
mso-margin-top-alt:auto;
margin-right:0in;
mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:0in;
font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:"MS PGothic",sans-serif;
mso-fareast-language:JA;}
span.EmailStyle19
{mso-style-type:personal;
font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
color:windowtext;}
span.odd
{mso-style-name:odd;}
span.date-display-single
{mso-style-name:date-display-single;}
span.date-display-range
{mso-style-name:date-display-range;}
span.date-display-start
{mso-style-name:date-display-start;}
span.date-display-end
{mso-style-name:date-display-end;}
span.locality
{mso-style-name:locality;}
span.EmailStyle28
{mso-style-type:personal-reply;
font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
color:windowtext;}
.MsoChpDefault
{mso-style-type:export-only;
font-size:10.0pt;}
@page WordSection1
{size:8.5in 11.0in;
margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in;}
div.WordSection1
{page:WordSection1;}
--></style><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
<o:shapedefaults v:ext="edit" spidmax="1027" />
</xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
<o:shapelayout v:ext="edit">
<o:idmap v:ext="edit" data="1" />
</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link="#0563C1" vlink="#954F72"><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-size:24.0pt;color:#073763;background:white'><img width=115 height=37 style='width:1.1979in;height:.3854in' id="_x0000_i1029" src="cid:image001.png@01D71CA2.10D197D0" alt="Department of Statistics and Data Science
"></span></b><b><span style='font-size:24.0pt;font-family:"Microsoft YaHei Light",sans-serif;color:#073763;background:white'> <a href="https://statistics.yale.edu/" target="_blank" title=Home><span style='font-size:22.0pt'>Department of Statistics and Data Science </span></a></span></b><o:p></o:p></p><h1 style='mso-margin-top-alt:.1in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;background:white'><span style='font-size:16.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;text-transform:uppercase;font-weight:normal'>JURE LESKOVEC</span><span style='font-size:13.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;font-weight:normal'>, <span class=odd>Stanford University</span></span><span style='font-size:13.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;font-weight:normal'><o:p></o:p></span></h1><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shapetype id="_x0000_t75" coordsize="21600,21600" o:spt="75" o:preferrelative="t" path="m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe" filled="f" stroked="f">
<v:stroke joinstyle="miter" />
<v:formulas>
<v:f eqn="if lineDrawn pixelLineWidth 0" />
<v:f eqn="sum @0 1 0" />
<v:f eqn="sum 0 0 @1" />
<v:f eqn="prod @2 1 2" />
<v:f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelWidth" />
<v:f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelHeight" />
<v:f eqn="sum @0 0 1" />
<v:f eqn="prod @6 1 2" />
<v:f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelWidth" />
<v:f eqn="sum @8 21600 0" />
<v:f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelHeight" />
<v:f eqn="sum @10 21600 0" />
</v:formulas>
<v:path o:extrusionok="f" gradientshapeok="t" o:connecttype="rect" />
<o:lock v:ext="edit" aspectratio="t" />
</v:shapetype><v:shape id="Picture_x0020_1" o:spid="_x0000_s1026" type="#_x0000_t75" alt="https://statistics.yale.edu/sites/default/files/styles/user_picture_node/public/jure-2b.jpg?itok=gTYpZDD_" style='position:absolute;margin-left:0;margin-top:99.6pt;width:79.75pt;height:95.75pt;z-index:251658240;visibility:visible;mso-wrap-style:square;mso-width-percent:0;mso-height-percent:0;mso-wrap-distance-left:9pt;mso-wrap-distance-top:0;mso-wrap-distance-right:9pt;mso-wrap-distance-bottom:0;mso-position-horizontal:left;mso-position-horizontal-relative:text;mso-position-vertical:absolute;mso-position-vertical-relative:text;mso-width-percent:0;mso-height-percent:0;mso-width-relative:page;mso-height-relative:page'>
<v:imagedata src="cid:image002.jpg@01D71CA2.10D197D0" o:title="jure-2b" />
<w:wrap type="square"/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=106 height=128 style='width:1.1041in;height:1.3333in' src="cid:image003.jpg@01D7208C.D7270D50" align=left hspace=12 alt="https://statistics.yale.edu/sites/default/files/styles/user_picture_node/public/jure-2b.jpg?itok=gTYpZDD_" v:shapes="Picture_x0020_1"><![endif]><span class=date-display-single><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black'>Date: Monday, March 29, 2021</span></span><span class=date-display-single><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p></o:p></span></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span class=date-display-single><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black'>Seminar Time: </span></span><span class=date-display-start><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black'>4:00PM</span></span><span class=date-display-range><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black'> to </span></span><span class=date-display-end><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black'>5:00PM</span></span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black'>Via Zoom: <a href="https://yale.zoom.us/j/98000615784?pwd=UUVrK05XK0dXeTFaQXluQU5hNkZUdz09">https://yale.zoom.us/j/98000615784?pwd=UUVrK05XK0dXeTFaQXluQU5hNkZUdz09</a></span><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span class=locality><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black'>Password: 24</span></span><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black'><a href="https://cs.stanford.edu/people/jure/"><span style='color:black'>Website</span></a></span><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><b><u><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black'>3:40 – Pre-Talk Tea (same link as seminar)</span></u></b><b><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><b><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'><o:p> </o:p></span></b></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><b><span style='font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'>Title: Mobility Networks for Modeling the Spread of COVID-19: Explaining infection rates and informing reopening strategies<o:p></o:p></span></b></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><b><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'>Information and Abstract: <o:p></o:p></span></b></p><p style='mso-margin-top-alt:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:12.0pt;margin-left:0in;background:white;box-sizing: inherit'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'> In this talk I will demonstrate how fine-grained epidemiological modeling of the spread of Coronavirus – predicting who gets infected at which locations – can aid the development of policy responses that account for heterogeneous risks of different locations as well as the disparities in infections among different demographic groups. We use U.S. cell phone data to capture the hourly movements of millions of people and model the spread of Coronavirusfrom among a population of nearly 100 million people in 10 of the largest U.S. metropolitan areas. We show that even a relatively simple epidemiological model can accurately capture the case trajectory despite dramatic changes in population behavior due to the virus. We also estimate the impacts of fine-grained reopening plans: we predict that a small minority of superspreader locations account for a large majority of infections, and that reopening some locations (like restaurants) pose especially large risks. We also explain why infection rates among disadvantaged racial and socioeconomic groups are higher. Overall, our model supports fine-grained analyses that can inform more effective and equitable policy responses to the Coronavirus.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'> <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'>BIO: Jure Leskovec <<a href="http://cs.stanford.edu/~jure" target="_blank"><span style='color:#286DC0'>http://cs.stanford.edu/~jure</span></a>> is an associate professor of Computer Science at Stanford University, the Chief Scientist at Pinterest, and an Investigator at the Chan Zuckerberg Biohub. He co-founded a machine learning startup Kosei, which was later acquired by Pinterest. Leskovec’s research area is machine learning and data science for complex, richly-labeled relational structures, graphs, and networks for systems at all scales, from interactions of proteins in a cell to interactions between humans in a society. Applications include commonsense reasoning, recommender systems, social network analysis, computational social science, and computational biology with an emphasis on drug discovery. This research has won several awards including a Lagrange Prize, Microsoft Research Faculty Fellowship, the Alfred P. Sloan Fellowship, and numerous best paper and test of time awards. It has also been featured in popular press outlets such as the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal. Leskovec received his bachelor’s degree in computer science from University of Ljubljana, Slovenia, PhD in machine learning from Carnegie Mellon University and postdoctoral training at Cornell University. You can follow him on Twitter at @jure.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><b><u><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black'>3:40 – Pre-Talk Tea (same link as seminar)</span></u></b><b><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'>Join from PC, Mac, Linux, iOS or Android: <a href="https://yale.zoom.us/j/98000615784?pwd=UUVrK05XK0dXeTFaQXluQU5hNkZUdz09"><span style='color:#286DC0'>https://yale.zoom.us/j/98000615784?pwd=UUVrK05XK0dXeTFaQXluQU5hNkZUdz09</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'> Password: 24<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'> Or Telephone</span><span lang=JA style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"MS Gothic";color:#222222'>：</span><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'>203-432-9666 (2-ZOOM if on-campus) or 646 568 7788<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'> Meeting ID: 980 0061 5784<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'> International numbers available: <a href="https://yale.zoom.us/u/aDBWWM3CW"><span style='color:#286DC0'>https://yale.zoom.us/u/aDBWWM3CW</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'> <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='background:white'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:#222222'>For H.323 and SIP information for video conferencing units please click here: <a href="https://yale.service-now.com/it?id=support_article&sys_id=434b72d3db9e8fc83514b1c0ef961924"><span style='color:#286DC0'>https://yale.service-now.com/it?id=support_article&sys_id=434b72d3db9e8f…</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div></body></html>