The not-so-deadly West Nile Virus
Mark Walker
MWalker at gensym.com
Thu Aug 30 02:46:17 EDT 2001
Actually, David, I wasn't targeting you. I just found it interesting that I
could replace a few key words to transform your statement into an argument
from the opposite side of the argument. Also, Michaels statement sounded
very much like something Paul might write. Just a general poke at the whole
debate.
Mark.
> -----Original Message-----
> From: David Smith [mailto:idleweed at tusco.net]
> Sent: Wednesday, August 29, 2001 3:27 AM
> To: Mark Walker; leps-l at lists.yale.edu
> Subject: Re: The not-so-deadly West Nile Virus
>
>
> I was not talking about Paul. Many of his posts I find interesting and
> informative. I was talking about citing and relying on people
> paid for there
> views such as mosquito control districts, paid witnesses in
> court cases,
> etc. Now I realize that this could have included Paul because
> he is a paid
> insecticide salesman (So I understand) but that is not the
> way it was meant,
> it was to his references I referred. I am not an
> preservationist but rather
> consider myself more conservation oriented.
> David Smith
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Mark Walker" <MWalker at gensym.com>
> To: <idleweed at tusco.net>; <leps-l at lists.yale.edu>
> Sent: Wednesday, August 29, 2001 3:36 AM
> Subject: RE: The not-so-deadly West Nile Virus
>
>
> > David Smith wrote, but I plagiarized:
> >
> > "The various Florida <environmental activist groups
> spokespersons> cannot
> be
> > said to be unbiased on this topic. They are fighting to
> keep their jobs.
> I
> > lived in Florida when they shut down <various recreational
> activities on
> > public lands> and you should have read the statistics on
> how many <birds,
> > bugs, and beasties> there were, and after the <various recreational
> > activities> were shut down there wasn't that much
> difference. It seems as
> > though most people <scientists, activists, tree-huggers>
> will go to great
> > lengths to keep their job and statistics is probably one of
> the easiest
> ways
> > to misinform other people"
> >
> > It really is kind of funny how both sides of this argument
> seem to speak
> out
> > of both sides of their mouths. I can just imagine how
> badly Mr. Paul
> would
> > have been slaughtered on this list if he had said something like,
> "Contrary
> > to the 1999 news media in New York and the 2001 news media
> in Florida,
> West
> > Nile is NOT a particularly deadly virus. And compared with
> many other
> public
> > health problems it is a NEGLIGIBLE cause of mortality.", if
> it had been
> > referring to NEGLIGIBLE insect mortality (which is
> precisely what Paul has
> > been basically saying for at least five years now). In fact, the
> > similarities between this statement and Paul's usual post
> are striking.
> > Surely everyone else can see that.
> >
> > Personally, I don't consider even a single human death by
> insect-transmitted
> > virus negligible. As I've said, I share other's disdain for
> indiscriminate
> > and mass spraying. But come on - are you folks really
> suggesting that
> these
> > few deaths are an exaggeration???
> >
> > You know - I'm just as upset with the shark attacks,
> because I know that
> > this will provide a license to slaughter virtually every
> shark seen in
> > shallow Floridian waters - all in the name of Florida
> tourism. On the
> other
> > hand, I won't be planning any beachfront vacations to
> Florida any time
> soon.
> > Even if a few missing limbs would be negligible.
> >
> > Mark Walker.
> >
> >
> >
> >
> > > The various Florida mosquito control districts cannot be said
> > > to be unbiased
> > > on this topic. They are fighting to keep there jobs. I lived
> > > in Florida when
> > > they shut down the auto inspection stations and you should
> > > have read the
> > > statistics on how many defective cars there were, after the
> > > stations were
> > > shut down there wasn't that much difference. It seems as
> > > though most people
> > > (scientists, mechanics, whatever) will go to great lengths to
> > > keep there job
> > > and statistics is probably one of the easiest ways to
> misinform other
> > > people.
> > > David Smith
> > > "Michael Gochfeld" <gochfeld at EOHSI.RUTGERS.EDU> wrote in message
> > > news:1010827192714.ZM18278 at Gochfeld...
> > > > As a public health professional who has had several
> > > opportunities to be
> > > > responsible for controlling vector borne diseases
> > > (including by massive
> > > > use of pesticides, including DDT) as well as studying
> them, I feel
> > > > compelled to comment on the spraying issue vis-a-vis West
> > > Nile virus.
> > > >
> > > > Contrary to the 1999 news media in New York and the 2001
> > > news media in
> > > > Florida, West Nile is NOT a particularly deadly virus. And
> > > compared with
> > > > many other public health problems it is a NEGLIGIBLE cause
> > > of mortality.
> > > >
> > > > The basis for this is given in the attached article which I
> > > completed
> > > > last week.
> > > >
> > > > Whether or not there are risks to humans from the
> > > pesticides, there is
> > > > little evidence that the pesticide use has been beneficial
> > > in reducing
> > > > the risk of West Nile to humans (or to crows, if you're
> > > concerned about
> > > > their health).
> > > >
> > > > Does anyone find it remarkable that there are no published
> > > accounts of
> > > > the efficacy of spraying in controlling West Nile (or even the
> > > > mosquitoes).
> > > >
> > > > Likewise, although there are abundant published
> accounts about the
> > > > numbers of dead birds showing up from southern Canada to
> > > the Gulf Coast,
> > > > denominator information is lacking. Are 10 infected crows
> > > a lot or a
> > > > little. It's very difficult to tell because there are
> virtually no
> > > > published accounts of the numbers of birds tested.
> However, the few
> > > > data points indicate that even for crows (a species
> > > especially sensitive
> > > > to West Nile virus), fewer than half of the birds tested
> > > are positive
> > > > for WNV. Moreover, overall in NJ and NY, in the past
> two years more
> > > > dead birds have succumbed from pesticide poisoning than from WNV
> > > > according to state veterinarians.
> > > >
> > > > My argument is that it is not a case of human health vs
> ecological
> > > > health, but that human health has benefitted little, if at
> > > all, from the
> > > > spraying. Moreover, in 1999 when the media was besotted
> > > with spraying,
> > > > it failed to convey the messages from CDC and other
> > > agencies, regarding
> > > > how people could reduce exposure to mosquitoes through
> control of
> > > > breeding places.
> > > >
> > > > As the attached article based on CDC publications and web sites
> > > > explains, only a minute proportion of people who become infected
> > > > with WNV (generally less than a half or tenth of 1%) get
> > > seriously ill
> > > > (of these about 10% die). The vast majority experience NO
> > > SYMPTOMS AT
> > > > ALL. They are only discovered when random serologic surveys are
> > > > conducted in presumed endemic areas.
> > > >
> > > > Compared with the 2400 deaths in New Jersey from influenza
> > > and pneumonia
> > > > in the year 2000, the one death from West Nile seems paltry
> > > (except to
> > > > the family of the victim, of course).
> > > >
> > > > Moreover, West Nile isn't even a major cause of
> > > encephalitis/meningitis,
> > > > causing only about 5% of the cases that occurred in the
> > > tri-state area
> > > > in 2000.
> > > >
> > > > Call me when there is an epidemic of Eastern Equine, a
> disease that
> > > > kills 25% or more of those infected, and shows a propensity
> > > for young
> > > > people and children (who are apparently resistant to WNV).
> > > >
> > > > And while we're at it, compare the risks of slathering
> > > toddlers with the
> > > > neurotoxic DEET to the negligible risk of West Nile infection in
> > > > children.
> > > >
> > > > Balancing risks is important. MICHAEL GOCHFELD
> > > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > ------------------------------------------------------------
> > >
> > > For subscription and related information about LEPS-L visit:
> > >
> > > http://www.peabody.yale.edu/other/lepsl
> > >
> > >
>
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